More Than a Head Fake?

The Obama campaign may be serious about targeting North Carolina. I heard last week they are sending 280 field organizers into the state.



The Rasmussen poll on WRAL showed Obama behind McCain by only 45-43.



Obama’s 43 percent is almost exactly what every Democratic presidential candidate going back to Dukakis in 1988 received here.



Big question: Is that Obama’s ceiling – or a floor?



Another big question: Are the polls underestimating the black vote?



Typically, polls at this point show Democrats getting only about 70 percent of the black vote. Obviously, that won’t happen. He’ll get 95-plus. That’s another 4-5 points for him. More if turnout explodes among blacks and young voters.



That’s what the 280 organizers are coming to do.



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Gary Pearce

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More Than a Head Fake?

The Obama campaign may be serious about targeting North Carolina. I heard last week they are sending 280 field organizers into the state.



The Rasmussen poll on WRAL showed Obama behind McCain by only 45-43.



Obama’s 43 percent is almost exactly what every Democratic presidential candidate going back to Dukakis in 1988 received here.



Big question: Is that Obama’s ceiling – or a floor?



Another big question: Are the polls underestimating the black vote?



Typically, polls at this point show Democrats getting only about 70 percent of the black vote. Obviously, that won’t happen. He’ll get 95-plus. That’s another 4-5 points for him. More if turnout explodes among blacks and young voters.



That’s what the 280 organizers are coming to do.



Click Here to discuss and comment on this and other articles.

Avatar photo

Gary Pearce

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