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The Obama campaign may be serious about targeting North Carolina. I heard last week they are sending 280 field organizers into the state.

The Rasmussen poll on WRAL showed Obama behind McCain by only 45-43.

Obama’s 43 percent is almost exactly what every Democratic presidential candidate going back to Dukakis in 1988 received here.

Big question: Is that Obama’s ceiling – or a floor?

Another big question: Are the polls underestimating the black vote?

Typically, polls at this point show Democrats getting only about 70 percent of the black vote. Obviously, that won’t happen. He’ll get 95-plus. That’s another 4-5 points for him. More if turnout explodes among blacks and young voters.

That’s what the 280 organizers are coming to do.

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