National Republicans
A Call for Respect
Race and politics can bring out the worst in people – and the best. My daughter Maggie, 15, is a high school sophomore. Like her older brother, who has posted blogs here before, she is an ardent Democrat – and fan of Barack Obama. Since Obama won, she has heard some ugly things from her…
Read MoreSummation
Well, the hollering and screaming is over and instead of being amazed by the antics of politicians we can go back to the normal everyday rhythms of life that get disrupted every four years by an election. What went wrong for Republicans here in North Carolina? What didn’t go wrong is happier to contemplate: Half…
Read MoreWhat Happened
Three factors carried North Carolina for Hagan, Perdue and – maybe – Obama. It is a mistake to ascribe the result to any one of the three alone. First was the public’s rejection of George Bush because of the economic crisis. In a sense, 2008 was just a continuation of the 2006 election cycle. Voters…
Read MoreIs It Over?
I’ve been skeptical about the vaunted Obama ground game. But now I believe it’s real. So real, this election may already be decided in North Carolina. Some 2.6 million people have already voted – 40 percent of the registered voters. Democrats outnumber Republicans 52-30. African-Americans are 27 percent of the total. Republicans have their famous…
Read MoreLet Them Eat Cake
I’m having a hard time figuring out John McCain’s strategy: First, he’s running as the champion of Joe the Plumber – then we find out his campaign sent Sarah Palin on a $150,000 shopping spree at Saks and Neiman Marcus. I don’t begrudge Governor Palin her new clothes but I can’t see how anyone in…
Read MoreBehind the Curtain: Conclusion
Being in a campaign is like peeling the skin off an onion: You just keep peeling away layers until, finally, you get to the core. It turns out in the three major races in North Carolina the core is the same: the fellow sitting at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue. If you like George Bush you vote…
Read MoreThe Obama Show
Obama fans probably loved Obama’s half-hour show Wednesday night. McCain voters either hated it or turned it off. And undecided voters – who are usually low-information voters anyway – probably didn’t watch it. So it may not make any difference for all the money it cost. But I had a reaction that may be in…
Read MoreBehind the Curtain: The Senate Race
In the Senate race it’s deja vu all over again for the third time: The same scarlet thread running through the races for President and Governor runs right on through Elizabeth Dole’s race. If you like George Bush, you vote for Senator Dole. If you don’t, you vote for Kay Hagan – except for a…
Read MoreClosing the Gap
One striking thing about the plethora of North Carolina polls has received little attention: There is little difference this year in the Democratic vote for President, Senator and Governor. In 2004, Mike Easley ran some 12 points ahead of John Kerry. Erskine Bowles, although he lost to Richard Burr, ran several points ahead. For years,…
Read MoreSwinging Polls
I enjoy reading Public Policy Polling’s polls, and they were on the money in the primaries. But I question whether PPP is reading more movement in voter opinion than is really happening. This week, PPP’s Tom Jensen said the “Yankee trash” issue has moved Eastern North Carolina voters toward Perdue and given her a 48-44…
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