Two Facts about the Debt Ceiling Deal

It’s pretty hard to sort through all the facts and figures and the rhetoric and posturing about the latest debt ceiling deal – but two facts seem clear.
 
President Obama, Speaker Boehner, Mitch McConnell and Harry Reid all say the latest agreement will raise the debt ceiling $2.4 trillion in exchange for $2.5 trillion in cuts.
 
The First Fact: The $2.4 trillion will be borrowed over the next year; only $6 billion of the cuts will be made over the next year. The rest are ‘promised’ over a decade. (In 1985 Congress passed the same type of deal and future Congressmen simply ignored the cuts.)
 
Second, Obama, Boehner, McConnell and Reid are comparing apples and oranges – compounding a year of debt increases to ten years of spending cuts.
 
Fact #2 – Comparing apples to apples, even if the Obama, Boehner, McConnell and Reid deal works out exactly as they plan they’re swapping $2.5 trillion in cuts (over ten years) for $7 trillion in debt increases (over ten years).
 
So, worst case: We’re swapping $2.4 trillion in debt increases now for $6 billion in cuts now. And the promised cuts could vanish down the road.
 
Best case: Congress makes every dollar of the promised cuts over ten years.
 
So in the best case we end up seven trillion more in debt.
 

 

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Carter Wrenn

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Two Facts about the Debt Ceiling Deal

It’s pretty hard to sort through all the facts and figures and the rhetoric and posturing about the latest debt ceiling deal – but two facts seem clear.
 
President Obama, Speaker Boehner, Mitch McConnell and Harry Reid all say the latest agreement will raise the debt ceiling $2.4 trillion in exchange for $2.5 trillion in cuts.
 
The First Fact: The $2.4 trillion will be borrowed over the next year; only $6 billion of the cuts will be made over the next year. The rest are ‘promised’ over a decade. (In 1985 Congress passed the same type of deal and future Congressmen simply ignored the cuts.)
 
Second, Obama, Boehner, McConnell and Reid are comparing apples and oranges – compounding a year of debt increases to ten years of spending cuts.
 
Fact #2 – Comparing apples to apples, even if the Obama, Boehner, McConnell and Reid deal works out exactly as they plan they’re swapping $2.5 trillion in cuts (over ten years) for $7 trillion in debt increases (over ten years).
 
So, worst case: We’re swapping $2.4 trillion in debt increases now for $6 billion in cuts now. And the promised cuts could vanish down the road.
 
Best case: Congress makes every dollar of the promised cuts over ten years.
 
So in the best case we end up seven trillion more in debt.
 

 

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Carter Wrenn

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