Here’s a peculiar poll. And a good example why – if you’re a candidate – depending on polls is more reliable than depending on your instincts.

John McLaughlin and Associates, a respected Republican pollster, reports Fred Thompson has gained nine points on Rudy Giuliani since April.

Giuliani dropped from 28% to 24%. Thompson rose from 13% to 18%.

So, you’d think conservatives, unhappy with Giuliani’s stands on gay rights and abortion, have “gone home” to Thompson? Right? Dead wrong.

Thompson’s vote soared 14% – from 4% to 18% – with Moderate Republicans. At the same time Giuliani dropped 8% – from 37% to 29% – with moderates.

Everybody stayed more or less the same with conservatives.

Here’s the current tally:

Giuliani 24%

Thompson 18%

McCain 17%

Romney 7%

Gingrich 5%

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