Obama’s Helmet

There’s a big new CBS News/New York Times poll out and Obama’s popularity has dropped. Which sounds good. Until you look at McCain’s numbers. He dropped too.



Now, let’s get down to the nitty gritty. Let’s put this as bluntly as possible: McCain needs to defeat Obama roughly 56% to 44% among white voters to win the election. Or, looked at the other way around, Obama needs 44%.



According to this poll, right now, with white voters Obama is:


Favorable 31%


Unfavorable 37%



Pretty bad news if you’re a Democrat. Worse than bad. Obama needs 44% of the white vote to win – but only 31% like him.



That doesn’t sound too good, either, until you look at McCain. Whose numbers should send a shiver down Republicans’ spines. McCain is:


Favorable 35%


Unfavorable 28%



He needs 56% of the white vote to win – and only 35% like him. A shortfall of 21%.



The poll also has a lot to say about President Bush, whose job approval was once 89%. It’s now 28%.



Do people approve of the war in Iraq? Do they think the surge is working? The answer to both questions: No. Do they approve of President Bush’s handling of the economy? No, again.



Will John McCain continue Bush’s policy in Iraq? Yes.



Will he continue Bush’s economic policy? Yes.



These are not hopeful signs.



Four years ago, when the Democrats swept the 2006 elections, 28% of voters called themselves Republicans and 35% said they were Democrats.



Today it’s worse. 26% Republican. To 37% Democrat.



So here’s the picture for McCain. He needs 56% of the white vote to win – but only 35% like him. President Bush is unpopular. The war is unpopular. The economy is in the tank. And McCain will continue Bush’s policies. And in the last two years, since the Democrats won in a landslide, it’s gotten tougher to elect a Republican. And Barack Obama is going to outspend him by $200 million. Senator McCain’s got three choices: Convince people he can heal by touch, attack George Bush, or attack Barack Obama.



Here’s the picture for Obama: Strap on your helmet.




Click Here to discuss and comment on this and other articles.

Avatar photo

Carter Wrenn

Categories

Archives

Recent Posts

Obama’s Helmet

There’s a big new CBS News/New York Times poll out and Obama’s popularity has dropped. Which sounds good. Until you look at McCain’s numbers. He dropped too.



Now, let’s get down to the nitty gritty. Let’s put this as bluntly as possible: McCain needs to defeat Obama roughly 56% to 44% among white voters to win the election. Or, looked at the other way around, Obama needs 44%.



According to this poll, right now, with white voters Obama is:


Favorable 31%


Unfavorable 37%



Pretty bad news if you’re a Democrat. Worse than bad. Obama needs 44% of the white vote to win – but only 31% like him.



That doesn’t sound too good, either, until you look at McCain. Whose numbers should send a shiver down Republicans’ spines. McCain is:


Favorable 35%


Unfavorable 28%



He needs 56% of the white vote to win – and only 35% like him. A shortfall of 21%.



The poll also has a lot to say about President Bush, whose job approval was once 89%. It’s now 28%.



Do people approve of the war in Iraq? Do they think the surge is working? The answer to both questions: No. Do they approve of President Bush’s handling of the economy? No, again.



Will John McCain continue Bush’s policy in Iraq? Yes.



Will he continue Bush’s economic policy? Yes.



These are not hopeful signs.



Four years ago, when the Democrats swept the 2006 elections, 28% of voters called themselves Republicans and 35% said they were Democrats.



Today it’s worse. 26% Republican. To 37% Democrat.



So here’s the picture for McCain. He needs 56% of the white vote to win – but only 35% like him. President Bush is unpopular. The war is unpopular. The economy is in the tank. And McCain will continue Bush’s policies. And in the last two years, since the Democrats won in a landslide, it’s gotten tougher to elect a Republican. And Barack Obama is going to outspend him by $200 million. Senator McCain’s got three choices: Convince people he can heal by touch, attack George Bush, or attack Barack Obama.



Here’s the picture for Obama: Strap on your helmet.




Click Here to discuss and comment on this and other articles.

Avatar photo

Carter Wrenn

Categories

Archives