Marshall Arts

2010-06-23 - byGary Pearce
There’s a simple explanation for Elaine Marshall’s victory: Thomas Mills.
 
Her homegrown campaign manager outwitted Cal Cunningham’s bigger-name team, defied the DSCC and disproved the doubters.
 
Maybe one time in 10 the candidate with less money wins. This was one, and that’s a big win in politics.
 
As Secretary of State, Marshall had a low profile and left few tracks. Suddenly, she becomes the crusading champion for what BP’s boss called the “small people” against big corporations.
 
Suddenly she’s a better and more focused speaker. And, apparently, a more disciplined and effective fundraiser.
 
Her campaign turned all that – and even the DSCC’s doubts – to her favor. They ran a much-ridiculed TV ad that connected better than Cunningham’s poll-tested ads. And they focused their money on the right targets: women over 50 and African-Americans.
 
I salute Mills & Co.
 
And this is not to diminish Marshall. She was a much better candidate this time than in 2004. Losing sometimes makes candidates better. Jim Hunt was a far better candidate in 1992 for losing in 1984.
 
This time, of course, Marshall didn’t have to run against Erskine Bowles’ money. Cunningham was a perfect central-casting candidate, but he didn’t raise enough cash to overcome Marshall’s quasi-incumbent status, smart campaign and the advantages that came with being a woman.
 
His campaign’s biggest failing was not developing a compelling message. “Fresh face” and “having a real plan” weren’t enough in an anti-Washington, anti-big boys year.
 
But Cunningham may be back. Some of his supporters were already talking about him as a future candidate for governor.
 
To win, Marshall needs big bucks from her new friends at the DSCC, a shift in the national winds and some breaks. That’s asking a lot. But if it all comes together, she could become Richard Burr’s nightmare. This is not a year to be running against a woman with an anti-Washington message.
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Marshall Arts

2010-06-23/Gary Pearce
There’s a simple explanation for Elaine Marshall’s victory: Thomas Mills.
 
Her homegrown campaign manager outwitted Cal Cunningham’s bigger-name team, defied the DSCC and disproved the doubters.
 
Maybe one time in 10 the candidate with less money wins. This was one, and that’s a big win in politics.
 
As Secretary of State, Marshall had a low profile and left few tracks. Suddenly, she becomes the crusading champion for what BP’s boss called the “small people” against big corporations.
 
Suddenly she’s a better and more focused speaker. And, apparently, a more disciplined and effective fundraiser.
 
Her campaign turned all that – and even the DSCC’s doubts – to her favor. They ran a much-ridiculed TV ad that connected better than Cunningham’s poll-tested ads. And they focused their money on the right targets: women over 50 and African-Americans.
 
I salute Mills & Co.
 
And this is not to diminish Marshall. She was a much better candidate this time than in 2004. Losing sometimes makes candidates better. Jim Hunt was a far better candidate in 1992 for losing in 1984.
 
This time, of course, Marshall didn’t have to run against Erskine Bowles’ money. Cunningham was a perfect central-casting candidate, but he didn’t raise enough cash to overcome Marshall’s quasi-incumbent status, smart campaign and the advantages that came with being a woman.
 
His campaign’s biggest failing was not developing a compelling message. “Fresh face” and “having a real plan” weren’t enough in an anti-Washington, anti-big boys year.
 
But Cunningham may be back. Some of his supporters were already talking about him as a future candidate for governor.
 
To win, Marshall needs big bucks from her new friends at the DSCC, a shift in the national winds and some breaks. That’s asking a lot. But if it all comes together, she could become Richard Burr’s nightmare. This is not a year to be running against a woman with an anti-Washington message.
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Gary Pearce

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