Cooking Numbers at Civitas
September 26, 2014 - by
Maybe Thom Tillis should give Civitas’ pollster math lessons.
Thursday morning, Civitas put out this release: “Democrat Tom Bradshaw leads Republican John Alexander by 16 percentage points in the NC Senate District 15 race, according to a new Civitas Flash Poll….” The poll, conducted last Monday and Tuesday, showed Bradshaw ahead 52-36 percent.
A few hours later, Civitas put out what it called “a corrected version of today’s flash poll on the candidates in NC Senate District 15.” It showed Bradshaw ahead by 10 points, 46-36.
I haven’t checked this morning. Maybe they have Tom behind by now.
One suspects the “correction” came after Civitas got an angry call from the Republican Senate campaign committee: Fix this – or else.
For the record, I’m working for Tom Bradshaw’s campaign. He’s a friend of 40-plus years and one of the finest people and leaders I’ve ever known.
Also for the record, we pay no attention to Civitas’ numbers. It’s probably a setup, anyway, so they can claim in a couple of weeks that Alexander “is closing the gap” or “has drawn dead even.”
There’s only one Civitas number I’m sure of: their credibility. It’s zero.
Cooking Numbers at Civitas
September 26, 2014/
Maybe Thom Tillis should give Civitas’ pollster math lessons.
Thursday morning, Civitas put out this release: “Democrat Tom Bradshaw leads Republican John Alexander by 16 percentage points in the NC Senate District 15 race, according to a new Civitas Flash Poll….” The poll, conducted last Monday and Tuesday, showed Bradshaw ahead 52-36 percent.
A few hours later, Civitas put out what it called “a corrected version of today’s flash poll on the candidates in NC Senate District 15.” It showed Bradshaw ahead by 10 points, 46-36.
I haven’t checked this morning. Maybe they have Tom behind by now.
One suspects the “correction” came after Civitas got an angry call from the Republican Senate campaign committee: Fix this – or else.
For the record, I’m working for Tom Bradshaw’s campaign. He’s a friend of 40-plus years and one of the finest people and leaders I’ve ever known.
Also for the record, we pay no attention to Civitas’ numbers. It’s probably a setup, anyway, so they can claim in a couple of weeks that Alexander “is closing the gap” or “has drawn dead even.”
There’s only one Civitas number I’m sure of: their credibility. It’s zero.