Poll Spin

Lo and behold, Art Pope’s Civitas Institute did a poll that found that North Carolina voters agree with – wait for it, yes, Art Pope! – on who is to blame for the recession: government, not business, by 64-22.   But curb your enthusiasm. Look deeper.   Last week, the New York Times did a…

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Americans are United…on One Thing

WRAL released a new poll the other day.  Senator Richard Burr leads Elaine Marshall by fifteen points but Marshall shouldn’t take it personally as the reason Burr leads has little to do with her.   54% of the voters are Unfavorable to President Obama – and it’s no coincidence Senator Burr is getting 53% of…

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They’re Back

In North Carolina, the most in-demand Democrat on the campaign trail is my old boss Governor Jim Hunt.   Nationally, the most in-demand Democrat is President Obama’s old nemesis Bill Clinton.   In California, the next governor may be Jerry Brown, who was elected California’s youngest governor ever in 1974.   In Iowa, the next…

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The Obama Mystery

Time’s Joe Klein puts his finger on President Obama’s problem in an engrossing essay “Encountering Anguish and Anxiety Across America:”   “Even among his most passionate supporters, Obama is something of a political mystery. He doesn’t challenge the Republicans; he doesn’t fight back; he doesn’t even tout his accomplishments….The Obama mystery is compounded by the…

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Don’t Change…

The election is slowly bumping and grinding to a close and it’s been a lot tougher ordeal for Democrats than Republicans – while Republicans have been cruising along riding the headwinds of Obama-disapproval, the same national tides have been pulling Democrats downward like a remorseless undertow.  Plus, since Democrats control almost everything that moves in…

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9600 to 500

Every now and then a fellow stumbles across a fact so eye-popping the moment he sees it he feels the ground shifting beneath his feet.   The other day in the newspaper a headline blared in big black letters that North Carolina’s unemployment rate had dropped, which sounded like good news until I read (in…

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Unstable Times

Historians and politicos yearn for stable, predictable political eras.   Arthur Schlesinger Jr. wrote about the “cycles” of American politics – the Progressive Era, the Republican Roaring 20s, the Age of Roosevelt, etc.   After 2008, James Carville predicted 40 years of Democratic dominance.   After 2000, Karl Rove predicted a permanent realignment.   So…

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Poll Tells the Tale

I love polls. When I did campaigns, I spent hours digging through them. Numbers don’t lie, and they tell you what’s obscured in the political blather. The latest NBC-Wall Street Journal poll lays out clearly what’s happening in this election.  The headline is that voters prefer a Republican Congress over a Democratic one by 50-43…

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The Obama Enigma

D.G. Martin was interviewing Carter and me for “Who’s Talking” on WCHL radio when we began discussing the topic that soon will dominate political debate: WOWW – Where Obama Went Wrong.   Was it the policy or the politics (see “Blaming the Messenger” below)? Was it the economy? Was in getting in bed with Congress?…

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Who’s the ‘Fruit Loop’?

What’s with this Republican obsession with gays?   There’s state Rep. Larry Brown, who emailed legislators about “queers” and “fruit loops.”   There’s Carl Paladino, the GOP candidate for governor in New York, who makes Brown look charitable. And there were all the gay slurs in the last race for North Carolina Republican Party chair. …

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