Election Outlier?




In 1993, Tom Fetzer’s election as mayor of Raleigh proved to be a portent of a national Republican tide the next year. Tomorrow’s Wake school board races could be the same for 2010.




I haven’t seen any polling. But I have a bad feeling that the bad guys – the anti-diversity crowd – will win. They seem to have the energy.  And, in a low-turnout race, the angry turn out.
 
In 1993, like this year, Democrats had just won the presidential election. They were still celebrating, and they were complacent.
 
Just like this year, Republicans were angry and motivated. Fetzer (with Carter’s help) found a perfect issue in the downtown civic center. Fetzer ran a modern TV campaign while Democrats ran the familiar old handshake campaign.
 
It was a sign of worse to come in 1994. And tomorrow may be the canary in the coal mine for 2010.
 
It will be ironic if the county that carried North Carolina for Barack Obama last year signals his setback next year.

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Gary Pearce

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Election Outlier?




In 1993, Tom Fetzer’s election as mayor of Raleigh proved to be a portent of a national Republican tide the next year. Tomorrow’s Wake school board races could be the same for 2010.




I haven’t seen any polling. But I have a bad feeling that the bad guys – the anti-diversity crowd – will win. They seem to have the energy.  And, in a low-turnout race, the angry turn out.
 
In 1993, like this year, Democrats had just won the presidential election. They were still celebrating, and they were complacent.
 
Just like this year, Republicans were angry and motivated. Fetzer (with Carter’s help) found a perfect issue in the downtown civic center. Fetzer ran a modern TV campaign while Democrats ran the familiar old handshake campaign.
 
It was a sign of worse to come in 1994. And tomorrow may be the canary in the coal mine for 2010.
 
It will be ironic if the county that carried North Carolina for Barack Obama last year signals his setback next year.

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Gary Pearce

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