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The way the Tea Partiers see it, to save the country they have to do to the Washington Republicans what General Sheridan did to the Indians during the Indian Wars.
Because when the Tea Partiers say, We can’t vote to raise the Debt Ceiling unless Obama cuts spending – the Republican Bosses say back, Geez, not raise the Debt Ceiling? That’s risky. Forget about it.
The Tea Partiers figure when it comes to saving the country a little risk is fine, but the Washington Bosses see that same risk as getting in the way of their winning elections.
Which brings us to a very old subject: Fiction in politics.
Up in Virginia, Ken Cuccinelli just lost the Republican campaign for Governor and before the sun rose the next morning, the Washington Bosses were telling the press, He’d have won if the Tea Partiers hadn’t shut down the government.
Which sounds eminently logical.
The Tea Partiers shut down the government, Cuccinelli lost, so Cuccinelli lost because the Tea Partiers shut down the government.
The Tea Partiers didn’t take that lying down. They shot back with their own logic: The Washington Bosses didn’t lift a finger to help Cuccinelli, Cuccinelli lost by two points, so Cuccinelli lost because of the Washington Bosses.
Now there was one more interesting fact in the press: Cuccinelli’s campaign, reported, didn’t poll in the last few weeks of the race.
Now whoever heard of a major campaign not polling at the end of the race? That’s political malpractice. So here’s a bit more logic: Cuccinelli didn’t poll, Cuccinelli lost by two points, so Cuccinelli lost because he didn’t poll.
Of course, that’s not the whole story but it’s almost surely a reason Cuccinelli lost. Which is being ignored.
Instead, both Tea Partiers and Washington Bosses are pointing fingers and serving up explanations that serve one purpose: To hurt their political opponents.
And the press, instead of cutting through the political smokescreens, is going right along debating a pair of fictions.


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2 comments on “An Old Subject

  1. Choo says:

    Lets take a look at this logic. Obama’s machine did poll. They saw a need to support the Libertarian candidate. They did so with Democratic money. The liberterian party got 6% of the vote, Cooch loses by 2%, now who cost Cooch the job.

  2. Reaganite says:

    Carter, you really do need to study the Virginia race more carefully.

    Cuccinelli not only did not poll in the last few weeks, but he was virtually dark on TV, being outspent by the Democrats by ten to one. The reason for both was that he was out of money. It is hard to either poll or run TV when you are out of money. In spite of no polling, his campaign team was able to identify the issue that drove the momentum his way, which was Obamacare. If they had just had the resources to pound on that on TV, they would have likely won.

    When we look at money, we need to look at the RNC. In the last Virginia governor’s race in 2009, the RNC spent $9 million. In 2013, they only spent a third of that, $3 million, and none after October 1. If RNC had given Cuccinelli the same funding they gave the outgoing Republican governor, he would have had the resources to both poll and run TV ads.

    Then there is that establishment snake in the grass, Christie, who was asked to come to Virginia to help Cuccinelli appeal to certain voter groups. Christie refused, even though his own campaign was cakewalk with a token opponent. This was the same Christie who did the infamous Obama hug on the eve of the 2012 election that gave a political boost to Obama, but refused to appear with Romney to at least give some balance. Christie seems to have no problem helping Democrats in campaigns by appearing with them, but will not do so for Republicans.

    The impact of the shutdown is a red herring if you look at the public polls throughout the campaign. Even the leftwing Manchester Guardian in the UK wrote an article based on the polling that the shutdown had no discernible impact on any of the major races going on in the US this year. If you look at the polling, the Virginia race started out neck and neck, but then a big gap developed which then closed up again at the end. The time that the gap, which had the Democrat up in double digits, developed was when the incumbent GOP governor was embroiled in a scandal over a contributor. Cuccinelli had no control over that, but it rocked his campaign because he was of the same party. The race closing back up coincided with Cuccinelli running almost exclusively on the Obamacare issue. The polls did not move during and after the government shutdown. That was a non factor.

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