House Majority Leader John Boehner made this pre-election prediction on George Stephanopoulos’ TV program Sunday a week ago: Boehner explained most Congressional races aren’t about federal issues, they’re about local issues. So, he says despite the war, Republicans will win. He admitted Independent voters are a problem, but added they don’t vote in off-year elections. So again, Republicans win.

We’ll see tonight if he’s right. But even if he is, it’s an odd rational for victory, sort of like saying, We Republicans may be unpopular but we’ll win anyway because the people who don’t like us won’t vote.

One last thing. Boehner also said 99% of the Democrats and Republicans in Congress are honest. We’ll see how that plays out tonight too.

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