Let’s compare two unique groups of voters.

First, people who have high school degrees. African American Democrats in this group already overwhelmingly disapprove of Trump (Approve 10%, Disapprove 85%) and also overwhelmingly vote for Linda Coleman, George Holding’s Democratic opponent. Among the remaining voters with high school degrees, men approve of Trump 79% to 20% and vote for George Holding by 57 points. However, women with high school degrees approve of Trump less (Approve 66%, Disapprove 30%) and only vote for George Holding by 28 points.

Now, let’s look at men and women who have post-graduate degrees. Here, again, African-American Democrats already overwhelmingly disapprove of Trump and have already made up their minds to vote for Linda Coleman. Among the other voters in this group, men approve of Trump 65% to 33% and vote for George Holding by 30 points. But, at the same time, women disapprove of Trump (Approve 30% Disapprove 70%) and vote for Linda Coleman.

It’s no surprise that men vote for a Republican candidate by a higher percentage than women – we’ve seen that in past elections. Here’s the surprise: This election, women in both groups are less likely to vote for a Republican candidate than they have been in the past.

The bottom line? Giving women a reason to vote for George Holding (or not to vote for Linda Coleman) is another key to his reelection.

Now, let’s talk about issues.

To be continued…