The Senate Race – 5
October 17, 2014 - by
You have to give Kay Hagan credit: A year ago the Swing Voters were ready to roll down the track and vote her out of office – and for a year Hagan kept those voters out of Thom Tillis’ camp.
The one big change in the Senate race – Tillis’ rising unpopularity with Independents – was all Kay Hagan’s doing.
On the other hand, Hagan had problems of her own: She’d been sitting at 43% or 44% or 45% of the vote for months. She’d kept Tillis from moving up. But she hadn’t moved up either. She was just as stuck as Tillis. Only in a different way.
The other day I had a repairman in the office and he said, You’re in politics?
I said, I’m afraid I have to plead guilty to that.
And he said, You know, we’re in a mess. We’re headed for a war and we ain’t got a leader in sight.
He meant ISIS.
And, maybe, that’s what’s going to tip the scales in the Senate race – a threat no one even knew existed six months ago may provide the impetus that moves Independent voters to support either Hagan or Tillis.
Of course, there could be other wild cards too.
Ebola.
Obama’s popularity dropping.
Or either Hagan or Tillis stumbling.
Any one of those events could tip the scales.
The Senate Race – 5
October 17, 2014/
You have to give Kay Hagan credit: A year ago the Swing Voters were ready to roll down the track and vote her out of office – and for a year Hagan kept those voters out of Thom Tillis’ camp.
The one big change in the Senate race – Tillis’ rising unpopularity with Independents – was all Kay Hagan’s doing.
On the other hand, Hagan had problems of her own: She’d been sitting at 43% or 44% or 45% of the vote for months. She’d kept Tillis from moving up. But she hadn’t moved up either. She was just as stuck as Tillis. Only in a different way.
The other day I had a repairman in the office and he said, You’re in politics?
I said, I’m afraid I have to plead guilty to that.
And he said, You know, we’re in a mess. We’re headed for a war and we ain’t got a leader in sight.
He meant ISIS.
And, maybe, that’s what’s going to tip the scales in the Senate race – a threat no one even knew existed six months ago may provide the impetus that moves Independent voters to support either Hagan or Tillis.
Of course, there could be other wild cards too.
Ebola.
Obama’s popularity dropping.
Or either Hagan or Tillis stumbling.
Any one of those events could tip the scales.