The Bullseye State

Governor Perdue called the choice of Charlotte for the Democratic convention “fantastic.” One of her advisers emailed me: “If you are posting on today’s announcement, all good from our point of view. People and resources in state, not to mention that O will be competing in NC!”
 
As Carter told Rob Christensen in today’s N&O, “It says loud and clear this is a key state.”
 
It’s no overstatement to say that the road to the White House goes through North Carolina. If Obama carries this state, he wins. If he just makes Republicans fight for it, he probably wins. And if the Republican candidate doesn’t win North Carolina, he or she is toast.
 
It’s a sign of how much politics has – and hasn’t – changed here.
 
Think about an election 40 years before 2012: 1972. That was the year the Democratic dam broke in North Carolina. George McGovern was the Democratic nominee for president, and North Carolina Democrats were running away from him as hard as they could.
 
That was the year Republicans elected their first governor (Jim Holshouser) and U.S. Senator (Jesse Helms).
 
Now Democrats are ecstatic that Obama will be renominated here and – apparently – compete hard here.
 
Here’s what hasn’t changed: the role race plays in our politics.
 
The 1972 revolution came, in part, because Southern whites didn’t like where the national Democratic Party had gone on civil rights.
 
In 2008, Obama mobilized a surge of new voters, in part, because he was the first African-American candidate for president. On the other side, of course, were some whites who couldn’t accept that.
 
The question in 2012 is whether Obama can rekindle the same flames – or whether his dominance of the Democratic ticket takes the party here down in flames.
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Gary Pearce

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The Bullseye State

Governor Perdue called the choice of Charlotte for the Democratic convention “fantastic.” One of her advisers emailed me: “If you are posting on today’s announcement, all good from our point of view. People and resources in state, not to mention that O will be competing in NC!”
 
As Carter told Rob Christensen in today’s N&O, “It says loud and clear this is a key state.”
 
It’s no overstatement to say that the road to the White House goes through North Carolina. If Obama carries this state, he wins. If he just makes Republicans fight for it, he probably wins. And if the Republican candidate doesn’t win North Carolina, he or she is toast.
 
It’s a sign of how much politics has – and hasn’t – changed here.
 
Think about an election 40 years before 2012: 1972. That was the year the Democratic dam broke in North Carolina. George McGovern was the Democratic nominee for president, and North Carolina Democrats were running away from him as hard as they could.
 
That was the year Republicans elected their first governor (Jim Holshouser) and U.S. Senator (Jesse Helms).
 
Now Democrats are ecstatic that Obama will be renominated here and – apparently – compete hard here.
 
Here’s what hasn’t changed: the role race plays in our politics.
 
The 1972 revolution came, in part, because Southern whites didn’t like where the national Democratic Party had gone on civil rights.
 
In 2008, Obama mobilized a surge of new voters, in part, because he was the first African-American candidate for president. On the other side, of course, were some whites who couldn’t accept that.
 
The question in 2012 is whether Obama can rekindle the same flames – or whether his dominance of the Democratic ticket takes the party here down in flames.
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Gary Pearce

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