Marshall or Cunningham?

The Democratic heavyweights in Washington who anointed Cal Cunningham – after dithering for months with Bob Etheridge – are probably sweating today. Elaine Marshall, the candidate they didn’t want to run against Richard Burr, may end up being the candidate they get.
 
Public Policy Polling shows her with a 28-21 lead, but it’s still obviously wide open.
Cunningham’s DC backing didn’t translate into the kind of money he hoped for, though he still has more TV time.
 
Two questions: Is it enough more? And is his military record a plus or minus in a Democratic primary electorate dominated by antiwar voters?
 
Marshall’s ad, by comparison to Cunningham’s ads, is low-budget, even amateurish-looking. But her campaign hopes its unpretentiousness cuts through.
 
The problem with her ad: It makes a claim about her record – fighting against lobbyists, insurance companies, etc. – for which she never built a foundation in 14 years as Secretary of State.
 
But she has advantages. Being female in a statewide Democratic primary is probably worth five points. She has done a good job of getting the netroots support. And the N&O noted that she has trial-lawyer support.

Ken Lewis, trailing badly, is evidence that it’s impossible for a good candidate who lacks money or political experience to jump straight into a statewide race.

 
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Gary Pearce

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Marshall or Cunningham?

The Democratic heavyweights in Washington who anointed Cal Cunningham – after dithering for months with Bob Etheridge – are probably sweating today. Elaine Marshall, the candidate they didn’t want to run against Richard Burr, may end up being the candidate they get.
 
Public Policy Polling shows her with a 28-21 lead, but it’s still obviously wide open.
Cunningham’s DC backing didn’t translate into the kind of money he hoped for, though he still has more TV time.
 
Two questions: Is it enough more? And is his military record a plus or minus in a Democratic primary electorate dominated by antiwar voters?
 
Marshall’s ad, by comparison to Cunningham’s ads, is low-budget, even amateurish-looking. But her campaign hopes its unpretentiousness cuts through.
 
The problem with her ad: It makes a claim about her record – fighting against lobbyists, insurance companies, etc. – for which she never built a foundation in 14 years as Secretary of State.
 
But she has advantages. Being female in a statewide Democratic primary is probably worth five points. She has done a good job of getting the netroots support. And the N&O noted that she has trial-lawyer support.

Ken Lewis, trailing badly, is evidence that it’s impossible for a good candidate who lacks money or political experience to jump straight into a statewide race.

 
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Gary Pearce

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