General
I love October now
I hated October when I worked in campaigns. It was the worst month. You were already dead tired when October got here. Then things got worse. Busier, crazier and more stressful. Ask anybody in a campaign how they’re doing in October, and they all say: “I’ll just be glad when it’s over.” You count down…
Read MoreThe worst of times, the best of people
The worst times bring out the best in us. Before we go back to bashing each other over politics, let’s salute all those who rose to Florence. Salute first the responders who are always there first. Salute the thousands of volunteers who saved lives (human and animal), served meals and succored those in need. Salute…
Read MoreThe Gathering Storm
Carter once said a wave election is like a hurricane. You know it’s coming. But you don’t know if it’ll be a Category 1 or a 5. And you don’t know if it’ll hit Wilmington or Nags Head – or everywhere. We’ve got a big one coming at us now. We’ll worry about the election…
Read MoreThe Election, a Summary
This year, after four elections with Obama in the White House, the political world has changed. We’re in a Blue Moon election where Democrats are voting heavier than usual and where Republican voter turnout is likely to be lower than usual. Independents blame both Republicans and Democrats for the political mess in Washington and, back…
Read MoreThe Election, a Summary
This year, after four elections with Obama in the White House, the political world has changed. We’re in a Blue Moon election where Democrats are voting heavier than usual and where Republican voter turnout is likely to be lower than usual. Independents blame both Republicans and Democrats for the political mess in Washington and, back…
Read MorePolitical Ads
This happened a long time ago but history repeats itself – and it’s repeating itself again today. Twenty-eight years ago, in 1990, Jesse Helms’ campaign ran a negative TV ad about Harvey Gantt – and the ad didn’t work. We’d taken a poll which showed voters agreed with Jesse and disagreed with Harvey Gantt on…
Read MoreTwo More Issues
More people say yes than no when asked whether they’d vote for George Holding because he supported the Republican tax cuts – but not as many more as you might expect. On the other hand, when asked whether they would support Linda Coleman if they knew she wants to repeal the tax cut and raise…
Read MoreTwo Issues
In George Holding’s poll, we asked voters about several issues he and Linda Coleman disagree on. For example, George Holding opposes Sanctuary Cities and here’s a video of Linda Coleman, at a Democratic forum, saying she supports Sanctuary Cities (at 27:20 into the video). It turns out voters oppose Sanctuary Cities 70% to 22%. Undecided…
Read MoreTwo Unique Groups of Voters
Let’s compare two unique groups of voters. First, people who have high school degrees. African American Democrats in this group already overwhelmingly disapprove of Trump (Approve 10%, Disapprove 85%) and also overwhelmingly vote for Linda Coleman, George Holding’s Democratic opponent. Among the remaining voters with high school degrees, men approve of Trump 79% to 20%…
Read MoreThe Undecided Voters
Let’s look at the Undecided Voters who’ll decide George Holding’s election against Linda Coleman. Fifteen percent of the voters are undecided. They’re Republicans 40%, Democrats 22%, and Independents 38%. When asked whether they would vote for a Republican candidate or a Democratic candidate for Congress (the Generic Ballot question), 48% vote Republican, 28% vote Democrat…
Read More