Back to Even: The Latest Polls

There’re not many media polls you can trust these days – media polls are done to give newspapers a reason to write stories their readers like. But there are a few reliable polls still around – and they’re showing a strange change in the race between Trump and Biden.

For months, Trump’s been leading Biden. But, suddenly, the race has gone back to even: In one poll Trump had 41%, Biden 43%. In another Trump had 43%, Biden 42%. A dead heat.

Beneath the surface in those polls there’re curious numbers: For years younger voters voted for Democrats, older voters for Republicans.

But recent polls show Biden leading Trump by 8 points with voters over 65, and Trump gaining strength with younger voters. Is that an aberration? Are younger voters leaving Biden for Trump – and older men and women leaving Trump for Biden?

There’s no clear answer. And the shift’s a surprise. But in most elections surprises happen.

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Carter Wrenn

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Back to Even: The Latest Polls

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There’re not many media polls you can trust these days – media polls are done to give newspapers a reason to write stories their readers like. But there are a few reliable polls still around – and they’re showing a strange change in the race between Trump and Biden.

For months, Trump’s been leading Biden. But, suddenly, the race has gone back to even: In one poll Trump had 41%, Biden 43%. In another Trump had 43%, Biden 42%. A dead heat.

Beneath the surface in those polls there’re curious numbers: For years younger voters voted for Democrats, older voters for Republicans.

But recent polls show Biden leading Trump by 8 points with voters over 65, and Trump gaining strength with younger voters. Is that an aberration? Are younger voters leaving Biden for Trump – and older men and women leaving Trump for Biden?

There’s no clear answer. And the shift’s a surprise. But in most elections surprises happen.

Avatar photo

Carter Wrenn

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