Polls – Burr
2009-12-28 - by
Thereâs been a lot of back and forth about new polls in the Senate Race. For instance, The Civitas Institute poll has Senator Richard Burr up:
· Richard Burr 40%
· Elaine Marshall 32%
· Undecided 28%
Some folks are saying this is good news for Burr but it looks to me like the news here isnât that Burr is now leading by 8% â itâs that after five years in office he only has 40% of the vote.
I remember back in 1992 when Lauch Faircloth ran against Terry Sanford we took a poll and Lauch was way behind with something like 40% of the voters undecided and I said, That doesnât look too good, and the pollster said, Itâs not as bad as it seems, as a rule of thumb 2/3rds of those undecided voters will vote for Faircloth.
His point was every one of those undecided voters knew Sanford and were looking for an alternative â but hadnât heard of Faircloth, yet. So, in the latest round of polls either they know Burr and are looking for an alternative or, worse, after five years in office Burr hasnât done anything that struck them as notable enough to make them remember heâs their Senator.
Either way, for Burr, it looks to me like the polls continue to be bad news.
Posted in General, North Carolina - Republicans
Polls – Burr
2009-12-28/
Thereâs been a lot of back and forth about new polls in the Senate Race. For instance, The Civitas Institute poll has Senator Richard Burr up:
· Richard Burr 40%
· Elaine Marshall 32%
· Undecided 28%
Some folks are saying this is good news for Burr but it looks to me like the news here isnât that Burr is now leading by 8% â itâs that after five years in office he only has 40% of the vote.
I remember back in 1992 when Lauch Faircloth ran against Terry Sanford we took a poll and Lauch was way behind with something like 40% of the voters undecided and I said, That doesnât look too good, and the pollster said, Itâs not as bad as it seems, as a rule of thumb 2/3rds of those undecided voters will vote for Faircloth.
His point was every one of those undecided voters knew Sanford and were looking for an alternative â but hadnât heard of Faircloth, yet. So, in the latest round of polls either they know Burr and are looking for an alternative or, worse, after five years in office Burr hasnât done anything that struck them as notable enough to make them remember heâs their Senator.
Either way, for Burr, it looks to me like the polls continue to be bad news.
Posted in General, North Carolina - Republicans