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Entries for 'Gary Pearce'

10
Arthur Sulzberger, publisher of the New York Times, said this week that the Times eventually will stop printing the paper and go totally on-line. Some say that could come as early as 2015.
 
Just shoot me now.
 
Not just because I’ll be one of the final holdouts who will still have a morning paper in my cold dead hands.
 
It’s also a sign of where the news media is headed in America: more overheated cable news frenzy about things like building mosques and burning Korans.
 
Don’t get me wrong. I love the online world – email, texting, Google, Wikipedia, information at my fingertips and, of course, my blog.
 
But there must be a direct correlation between the decline in newspaper-reading and the rise in the shouting-past-each-other slugfest that cable news has become.
 
That’s how a seemingly peaceful imam in New York and a clearly nutty preacher in Florida can dominate the news.
 
For myself, I have a strategy. I’m partial to WRAL’s news. Sometimes, then, to NBC Nightly News. Then Jon Stewart. Then, click! No Fox, MSNBC or CNN. I don’t even like the screaming heads I agree with.
 
If ESPN is showing anything that involves throwing, kicking or hitting a ball, I’m on it. There is some real human drama!
 
If not, there’s always a book. Until I have to get a Kindle, I guess.
 

 

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09
In PR it’s called “getting ahead of the story.”
 
Roy Cooper has tried it twice on the SBI story. Not happening. The N&O owns this story. Another Pulitzer is in sight. And today the N&O showed Cooper again that it, not he, is driving this train.

Yesterday Cooper tried to get ahead by announcing Gerald Arnold to oversee the crime lab. But that news was relegated to the second line of a photo caption – and inside coverage. The big headlines were about more problems and Cooper’s political future. 

(By the way, Cooper has now officially been a rising political star in four consecutive decades, going back to the 1980s.)
 
Cooper first tried to get in front of the story before it even ran. He moved Robin Pendergraft from the SBI days before the N&O series started. That may have given him some breathing room. Or it may have just made him look panicky.
 
Here’s some advice earned during Governor Jim Hunt’s 16 years in office: Stop. Stop trying to get ahead of tomorrow’s story, or next week’s, or next month’s.
 
This story will go on at least another two years. The right PR thing to do is the right thing to do – period. And you’re not going to figure out what that is if you approach this as a daily PR battle.
 
Cooper & Co. need to take a breath. Realize they’re in a marathon, not a sprint. Take the time – and invest whatever brainpower it takes – to figure out exactly what is wrong and what is the best long-term fix. Then do it.
 
It would be even worse if he was trying to solve this problem in the middle of a campaign. Fortunately for Cooper – and the state – he has two years before he has to face the voters again.
 
Fortunately also, the legislature isn’t in session. Cooper and the law enforcement community have a few months to prevent the honorables from doing permanent damage to the justice system.
 
The SBI story may have hurt Cooper’s chances to be UNC President, although a lot of influential university people already had been arguing that a “politician” shouldn’t run the system.
 
Cooper has time to do this right. He needs to take it.
 

 

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08
For a long time, I thought the main driver in this election was the rotten economy.
 
But the 2010 election instead may be all about the colossus who stands astride American politics today – for better and for worse: Barack Obama.
 
That thought occurred to me when I read this from Tom Jensen at Public Policy Polling:
 
“How people are planning to vote this fall in the state is highly correlated with how they feel about Obama. Folks who like the President are planning to vote Democratic by an 86-5 margin but those who do not like Obama are going toward the Republicans 85-5. With a majority in the state unhappy with Obama that's a big problem for Democrats and it's a change from past election cycles where the party held on at the state level because folks separated out their feelings about national Democrats from North Carolina Democrats.”
 
Obama’s election in 2008 was an earthquake. He is, shall we say, fundamentally different from any prior President. He is black. He has real charisma. He is “different” – a description that means a lot of things to people, good and bad.
 
He won because he inspired a surge of new voters – especially minorities and young people.
 
But his election clearly upset a lot of people – and seemed to unhinge some. That’s the root of the stubborn belief that he’s a socialist, or a Muslim, or not born in America, or a one-man sleeper cell or maybe Satan himself.
 
Those are the excited voters in this election. And there is nothing like fear, anger and the smell of victory to motivate voters.
 
After all, Obama’s election in 2008 was rooted in fear and anger toward George Bush and the Republicans. Obama caught that wave with a message of hope and change that drove millions of people to the polls.
 
But now the voters who elected him seem dispirited – or disappointed that he hasn’t yet fixed the economy, brought about world peace, saved the planet from pollution and changed the culture of Washington.
 
If this theory of the election is correct, there may not be a lot that Democratic candidates can do. It will be hard to separate themselves from the President, and if they try they will make the Obama legions mad.
 
Without a dramatic change over the next eight weeks, Obama and the Democrats could suffer as big a defeat this year as Republicans suffered in 2006 and 2008 combined.
 
Of course, Obama will still be President after November. Then we’ll have a heck of a battle the next two years.
 
Stay tuned.
 

 

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06
Democrats remind me of my friends on the Outer Banks last week: battening down, nervously watching the approaching storm and hoping it turns out to be a Category 1 that spares the house – and the Senate.
 
There are dire warnings of losing the state Senate and possibly even the House – or a result so close a couple of Democrats may bolt and elect a coalition Speaker.
 
Senate Democrats bravely counter that things are looking much better than that forecast.
 
The generic polls look foreboding. For all his political and rhetorical gifts – and granting that his unusual disciple and unique long-term strategic perspective may get him reelected in 2012 – President Obama isn’t giving Democrats any lift.
 
He could well face a Republican House next year. And if it’s a Category 4 storm, a Republican Senate.
 
There is just one course for Democrats to pursue: raise money, rally the dispirited troops and – most of all – savage your opponents. A positive message won’t win this year; you’ve got to make voters hate your opponent more than they hate you.
 
It’s an old and outdated cliché that Labor Day marks the beginning of the campaign. No, it began long ago.
 
This Labor Day means that Democrats have eight weeks to put their disaster-survival kits to use.

 

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05
In a recent blog, Carter posed some lofty questions to me about religion, like: Are all religions equal? Is Islam a violent religion? And so forth.
 
I’ve pondered posting some lofty thoughts that might help our readers in their own struggles with these vital issues of theology and faith.
 
In the end, I’ve decided that the best response is one that Terry Sanford long ago offered to a question that he recognized was intended to drag him into a lengthy and, to Sanford, unproductive debate: “These matters deserve prayerful consideration.”

 

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04
This headline on a Wilmington Star-News editorial represents the apex of either naïveté or optimism about politics:
 
“Misleading ads won't work if voters are savvy.”

 

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03
It’s Tom Fetzer’s job to run around the state sounding alarms. But it’s not the media’s responsibility to salivate every time he rings the bell.
 
There is no greater example than the Perdue flight flap. In the end, that looks to be nothing more than a few small licks of flame.
 
Fetzer did his best to fan them into a firestorm. But the dry tinder for the fire is a sometimes-disturbing attitude among the media, the public and zealous regulators. Even violent criminals are presumed innocent until proved guilty. In politics, it’s the opposite: All politicians are presumed guilty, even if proven innocent.
 
That presumption serves Fetzer and his party well during this campaign. But, if they win in November, they’ll get burned next.
 
I think it’s useful to set aside Fetzer’s hype and pay careful attention to the August 27 point-by-point rebuttal from Marc Farinella, Perdue’s campaign consultant. Few people have read it in full, so I provide it here for your Labor Day reading pleasure:
 
On Tuesday of this week, the State Board of Elections (SBOE) adopted a motion to levy a fine against the Perdue Committee for failing to report flights in a timely manner.    The same motion, which passed on a 4 to 1 vote, explicitly stated that there was no evidence to indicate that anyone in the Perdue campaign intentionally violated reporting requirements.

The Perdue Committee’s failure to report 41 flights on time was discovered and made public by the Perdue Committee itself.  It was not unearthed by an investigation.  The Perdue Committee publicly detailed the flights over the course of several months in 2009 when it reported the results of a voluntary post-election self-audit.   The Committee conducted the audit in order to make certain it had accounted for all expenditures properly.  The SBOE and the Perdue campaign had agreed in early 2008 that it would make sense to conduct an audit after the election because the campaign’s transition from one software package to another created some imbalances on the summary pages of our campaign finance reports.

The unreported flights discovered during the Perdue Committee’s self-audit led to a complaint being filed by the state Republican Party.  In response to the complaint, the State Board of Elections then initiated an investigation into the matter.  Quite remarkably, the investigation was assigned to an SBOE employee who was the spouse of an elected officer of the state Republican Party.  In other words, the investigation was conducted by the spouse of an elected officer of the organization that filed the complaint she was investigating.  Why anyone thought that was a good idea from any perspective is beyond me, but that is what happened. 
 
The investigation lasted eight months and apparently cost taxpayers in the hundreds of thousands of dollars.  State GOP chairman Tom Fetzer was predictably unhappy that a majority of the members of the Board did not find, in the investigator’s report, sufficient justification for continuing the investigation or holding formal hearings.  And so Mr. Fetzer reiterated his calls for various resignations and accused the SBOE chairman and executive director of “corruption” and “partisan white-wash” even though they were the same chairman and executive director who were instrumental in investigating and punishing Mike Easley and Jim Black.
 
Lost in all the political finger pointing are several essential points that I think explain why the SBOE decided to bring the Perdue matter to a close:
 
First, after an eight month investigation, there is still no one who was involved in the campaign, close to the campaign or had knowledge about how the campaign operated who is suggesting that anyone in the campaign sought to conceal information or intended to break the law.  No one. 
 
Second, the investigation turned up virtually nothing more than what the Perdue Committee had publicly disclosed on its own in 2009.  In all that time and with all that effort, investigators found only one single unreported flight that the Perdue Committee had not itself already found and disclosed many months ago.
 
Third, investigators tried to build a case that the Perdue campaign knew of some unreported flights in early 2008 but chose to conceal them until after the election.   But that allegation was shown to be false when the Perdue Committee pointed out that it had sent information (including dates, destinations, etc.) on unreported flights to the SBOE for an initial review in the first half of 2008.  Obviously, if the campaign were trying to conceal those flights from the SBOE until after the election, it would not have sent the flight information to the SBOE in the first half of 2008. 

It’s also worth noting that the aggregate value of all the flights that the Perdue campaign allegedly knew about in early 2008 but didn’t report until 2009 came to about $21,000.  It doesn’t really make much sense to think that in a $17.5 million campaign, the Perdue committee would go to such great lengths and take such enormous risks just to delay paying or accounting for $21,000 until after the election.  $21,000 was approximately twelve one-hundredths of one percent of the Perdue campaign’s total expenditures.

Partisan Republican mouthpieces like Mr. Fetzer like to argue that the Perdue campaign never would have reported any of these flights if it were not for the fact that Mike Easley got into trouble over flights.  However, as noted above, the Perdue committee started talking to the SBOE about its unreported flights back in the first half of 2008, about five months or so before there was any suggestion that Easley had flight problems. 

These and many other important facts were rarely reported over the course of the SBOE investigation.  Instead, there was a rush to judgment on the part of many observers, including many well-intentioned ones.   I think knowledge of these facts makes a difference to those who want to reach a fair and impartial conclusion about this matter.  Hopefully, now, everyone can return to more productive endeavors.

 

 

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02
Senator Richard Burr’s ad shows he knows he could be vulnerable. Voters don’t know him or what he’s done.
 
Which supports Elaine Marshall’s case for getting the $10 million she needs from the DSCC to be competitive.
 
Senate Democrats are playing defense most everywhere this year. It would be nice to make one raid in Republican territory. Make them spend time and money here instead of against a Democratic incumbent.
 
Public Policy Polling has repeatedly noted Burr’s weakness.
 
RealClearPolitics says Burr is in “the danger zone.”
 
Marshall has a good campaign team, and she can draw a sharp contrast with Burr. She can attack him on voting for the bailout, which will temper Republicans’ enthusiasm for him and hurt him with independents.  She can attack him as a 16-year Washington politician.
 
Plus, she has an advantage: She’s a woman.
 
PPP’s analysis shows that Democratic voters aren’t energized. Money – and a visit by President Obama – could change that.
 
Which would help not only Marshall, but also Democratic congressional incumbents. And Democratic chances in the legislative races. And redistricting in 2011. And Obama’s chances here in 2012.
 
The votes are there for Marshall. The question is whether she’ll have the money to get them.
 

 

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01
A reader called today with an interesting thought spurred by Richard Burr’s ad.
 
She took issue with his suggestion that all jobs come from the private sector. She pointed out that government contracts with Blackwater, Halliburton, KBR and a raft of defense contractors sure created a bunch of jobs.
 
She has a point. When private companies aren’t hiring, a government job – or a job created by a government contract – can pay the rent.

 

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01
Remember the furor last year when Governor Perdue announced that dozens of long-term, convicted criminals might get out of prison early because of an issue over “good time”?
 
Remember how everybody said what a disaster this would be for her?
 
Remember how critics said she overreacted by threatening to stand in the jailhouse door to prevent their release?
 
Then, last week, did you notice when the state Supreme Court ruled that she was, in fact, right? That the inmates wouldn’t be getting out early?
 
Somehow that didn’t get quite the same attention.
 
The Governor and her people should enjoy some told-you-so’s here.

 

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