View Article

Back when he was a Democrat, former Senator Lauch Faircloth used to say there were two things he didn’t understand: electricity and Republicans.  I still don’t understand either one.

I especially don’t understand the Republican presidential contest:

  • John McCain seems to be shrinking before our very eyes.  The strong, straight-talking, independent maverick of 2004 now seems old, tired, beaten-down and reduced to pandering to everybody he stood up to before.
  • Rudy Giuliani – a twice-divorced, stereotypical New Yorker who supported abortion rights and gays – is the front-runner.
  • No true-blue conservative has mobilized the Ronald Reagan/Religious Right/Values Voters who have been the strength and energy of the party’s electoral successes since 1980.

Meanwhile, Republican Governors in two big states – Arnold Schwarzenegger in California and Charlie Crist in Florida – have turned into bipartisan-talking, global-warming-bashing moderates.

A poll in The New York Times this week revealed the Republicans’ angst – and the risks for their front runners, McCain, Giuliani and Mitt Romney:

  • 40 percent of Republicans think a Democrat will win the White House in 2008.  Only 12 percent of Democrats think a Republican will win.
  • 60 percent of Republicans aren’t happy with their choices for President.

Republicans are still looking for more information.  That’s bad for McCain and Giuliani:

  • 41 percent said they don’t know enough about Giuliani.  Wait until they see the pictures of him in drag.  Or the clip where he says poor women should have a right to tax-funded abortions.  That was exactly Jim Hunt’s position when he was Governor.
  • 50 percent said they don’t know enough about McCain!  And he’s been on stage forever – and run for President before.  Maybe they haven’t figured out which is the real McCain.

So there is an opening for a social conservative.  But can Mitt Romney be it?  He may be too squishy on abortion and gays, although he has changed his tune lately. 

Romney’s real problem is religion:  51 percent of Republicans say they don’t think America is ready for a Mormon.

That is their polite way of saying they won’t vote for a Mormon.

Here is my bracketology for the Republican race:

  • Rudy versus Rudy: Can 9/11 Rudy overcome closet liberal/Rudy?  I just don’t think the true believers will buy it.
  • McCain versus McCain: Too tired and too untrustworthy for the true believers.  Out in the first round.
  • Romney versus Religion: Romney has to give a JFK-like Houston speech.  My guess is he’s no JFK, but grovels enough to be acceptable. 
  • The Smurfs: Somebody emerges from the Huckabee-Brownbeck pack to give Romney a run to the Right.

In the end, I predict Romney wins – then loses to Hillary in the general election.

I hope I’m right.  Because if Rudy wins the nomination, he could win the election. 

Click Here to discuss and comment on this and other articles in our Forum.

Actions: E-mail | Permalink | Comments (3) RSS comment feed |


Thursday, March 15, 2007 1:33 PM
A Republican Crackup?
# ping
Wednesday, July 28, 2010 6:48 AM

latest collection tagwatches available on ReplicaMonkey. The replica rolex watches watches look so authentic rolex watches that it is highly rolex watches impossible to differentiate between rolex watches the original and the rolex watches replica. It is raining replica rolex watch watches and discounts on rolex watches replicas Replica Monkey also check rolex watches out the brand new rolex watches collection of replica Rolex watches that have been added
# jia
Wednesday, July 28, 2010 7:00 AM

e only tiffany co jewelry problem with these branded cheap Pandora Bangles on sale things is the fact replica Christian Dior that they are expensive. cheap Links of London for sale This problem has been replica tiffany & co. jewelry solved with the designer Juicy Couture sale replica items. These replica tiffany and co accessories are available on tiffany jewelry replica many items including handbags, tiffany jewelry watches, shoes and many replica Christian Dior sale more. The main advantage of designer replica accessories is th

Post Comment

Only registered users may post comments.
Copyright (c) Talking About Politics   :  DNN Hosting  :  Terms Of Use  :  Privacy Statement