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Entries for March 2012

16
Since before the Iowa Caucus the pundits have been saying what Republican voters care about most is electing the strongest candidate to beat Obama, or electing the candidate who’d fight hardest to cut spending. Almost everyone’s been opining ‘The election’s about who can beat Obama’ or ‘The election’s about spending,’ but it turns out that’s not quite so.
 
Instead the Republican Primary has turned out to be a cultural war with the ‘Establishment Politicians’ (Romney) on one side and the ‘Cultural Conservative Christians’ (Santorum) on the other.
 
The fault line running through the Mississippi and Alabama Primaries isn’t beating Obama or spending or even ideology it’s ‘Cultural Conservative Christians’ versus ‘Republican Establishment Politicians’ – and that wave is roaring straight toward North Carolina and hardly anything or anyone in a Republican Primary will be left untouched.
 

 

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16
A Democratic operative (not in the governor’s race) says Bill Faison may place a statewide TV buy of nearly $1.5 million in April. Will Faison be the John Edwards of 2012?
 
That’s not fair to Faison. I don’t mean the John Edwards we came to know. I mean the Edwards we met in 1998, when he ran for Senate.
 
Try to forget what happened after that. Picture instead: a new face, a political outsider, a man from modest beginnings who rose to great heights, a skilled trial lawyer who made millions standing up for average people against big, bad enemies. And a politician willing to spend his money on TV to win statewide office.
 
The parallels aren’t exact. Faison does have experience in public office. He ran for state party chair. He knows issues. (In 1998, Edwards couldn’t remember which side of right-to-work he was supposed to be on.) Faison has even run ads on a jobs plan.
 
Also, Edwards has more hair. Faison has a mustache. And Faison’s marital problems are already known, not still to come.
 
In the primary, Edwards’ millions overwhelmed a candidate who would have been a better Senator: D.G. Martin. Then Edwards beat Lauch Faircloth in November. A salutary result, that.
 
Here’s the hard-earned lesson from 1998: Test-drive a new car before you buy it.

 

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15
Paul Coble reared up on his hind legs and slammed an evangelical, born again, Spirit moving Baptist by calling him a liberal gay marriage supporter – then added that’s the kind of no good varmint who’s supporting his opponent’s campaign and that’s all the reason anyone needs to know to vote against George Holding.
 
The unfortunate fellow Coble’s slamming is Joe Knott – who’s no more for gay marriage than Rick Santorum. Which Coble knows. But all those people seeing Coble’s ads don’t.
 
Which makes the question (if you’re standing in George Holding’s shoes): What do you do about it?
 
Do you take your opponent calling you the hand-picked candidate of the gay marriage crowd head on – or just ignore the whole thing as bad manners?
 
Here’s a fact: When a fellow goes on TV and calls you a skunk (or a liberal) in a Republican Primary sitting down is not the answer. Sticking your head in the sand works for ostriches. But not in politics. Folks just naturally figure when a fellow is called a polecat and says nothing – there must be something to it.
 
Beyond that, what happens next is simple: The fellow who just punched you once and got away with it is going to punch you again – harder and meaner.
 
Back in the ancient days in 1984 when Jim Hunt ran against Jesse Helms, Hunt started his Senate Campaign with his feet firmly planted on two bedrocks: He was sitting on a 25 point lead and he knew that negative attacks (and whatever Jesse said about him) wouldn’t work.
 
Jesse had his feet firmly planted on two pieces of bedrock too: That he trailed by 25 points and that there was not one thing – morally, spiritually or practically – wrong with calling a skunk a skunk. For a year Helms’ campaign pummeled Hunt for flip-flopping on everything from Reagan’s tax cuts to the length of the school year and Hunt sat grinning, sure it was all backfiring.
 
Then in the middle of 1984 Hunt discovered his 25 point lead vanished.
 
Next Hunt roared like a banshee – and made a negative attack on Jesse.
 
The moral of this story: When a fellow goes on TV and calls you a polecat you’d better get off your duff and tell folks who the real skunk is.
 
 

 

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15
You could earn a bachelor’s degree in political science just talking to the two of them: former Governor Jim Hunt and Congressman (and Minority Whip) Steny Hoyer.
 
They were together last night at a fundraiser for Congressman Larry Kissell hosted by Heather and Bruce Thompson in Raleigh.
 
Hoyer has represented Maryland in Congress forever. He’s the consummate insider, deal-maker and fundraiser. Hunt was governor forever and is the consummate political master.
 
They’re old friends and contemporaries.  They were leaders together in the Young Democrats in 1968. Hoyer said, “We were both teetotalers, so we hung out at the Coca-Cola end of the bar.”
 
Hoyer called Hunt “the best governor in America” and said he would have been President if he had beaten Jesse Helms in 1984. Hunt didn’t argue.
 
They share a political DNA: a mix of progressivism and moderation, a commitment to building consensus and – above all – a genuine joy in the trade of politics.
 
They’re not making many like Hunt and Hoyer any more.

 

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14
North Carolina Democrats need to get out of their funk.
 
You can see why so many of them are down. We got hammered in 2010. The Republicans grabbed control of the legislature, the budget, the political agenda, redistricting and fundraising with efficiency and ruthlessness.
 
Democrats got down even more when many of their legislators looked at the district lines and took themselves out of the game. Then Governor Perdue decided not to run. Pat McCrory took a big lead in the polls. The mood went down, down, down.
 
Democrats need to get it over. They need some starch in their spines, some caffeine in their coffee and some fight in their future.
 
The latest Public Policy Poll shows them down only 10 or 11 in the governor’s race – compared to 15 in January. And McCrory’s lead in based just on name recognition. The primary will close that up.
 
Then it’s time to do battle. You’ve got good issues, and the Republicans are helping you with that. You need money, good candidates and grit.
 
As my friend Brad Crone, the Democratic consultant from Raleigh, told the Wake County Democratic Men this week: “Republicans won the legislature in districts that we drew. We can do the same thing.”
 
Stop moping. Get to work.

 

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13
Jeanne Bonds, “lead strategist” for Bill Faison’s campaign, posted a comment on my blog below, “Faison Strikes Out (Again) on Twitter?” I’ve removed her comment, because it made an accusation that I know isn't true against another individual. But I’m more than happy to give space to her accusations against me, to wit:
 
“Gary Pearce Strikes (Out?) Again

“Well, Gary. I think the world of Jim Hunt but I wonder what he would think about you and your drop into the irrelevant/innuendo realm lately. I am not the Campaign Manager. And, I am a volunteer. And, no, we (Bill Faison and I) operate no parody accounts. None. Nada. Comprende?


“Just because a parody copied my tweet without crediting me is irrelevant. Happens all the time on twitter. But you are new to it, right? Well, it shows.


“What are you really worried about Gary? Is it that technology has passed you by or are you just worried about a woman in the world of the good ole boy network of NC political strategy? Shock, the times they are achangin'


“Are you worried that Bill Faison and I talk about real issues? Or are you worried that two people ‘outside the Democratic establishment’ are talking about issues?


“I suggest research. I know you are a novice on twitter and it shows. My husband, Bob Bonds, wrote to a parody who had crossed the line with a personal comment, not a political one. He was defending me. Would you defend your wife if someone did that? Would she defend you?


“My husband went to graduate school with your blog operator, Luther Snyder (a Republican), so he can verify Bob Bonds is ‘real’….
 
(GARY’S NOTE: At this point, Jeanne accused another individual, a certain Republican, of being the TAPster who questioned whether she was behind the Etheridge parody account. But she is incorrect. That person, whom I don’t know, didn’t do it. In fact, the TAPster is a Democrat.)
 
Jeanne continued: “(When NAME DELETED) crossed the line and accused me of being a parody, all you have to do is look at the tweets of that parody and you would know it is not me, but him.


“Would I tweet ‘John Edwards is a woman’ ? I don't think so. Or, would I tweet my name as @JennyBonds or would I tweet negatively about me and Bill Faison?. Would I be friends with only Republicans? And more importantly, while you obviously have time to dabble in the insignificant world of twitter gossip, I don't. I am a volunteer. The Tapster (AGAIN, NAME DELETED) has made a fool of you. You have given a liar credibility. And, you don't even know it. Yes, (he) has taken you on Mr. Toad's Wild Ride.


“Pull down all the tweets and conversations and you may learn something about how twitter really works. Until then, writing about ridiculous things will not change this election. You commented that I ‘take on’ reporters and others. I sure do. I learned from Burley Mitchell, whom you know, that a lie cannot stand so I will take on lies or attempted lies or innuendo when I see them, including here.”

 
Jeanne, thank you for the response.  I’m glad to get all that straight.
 
By the way, I wrote that she was Faison’s campaign manager because the News & Observer had reported: “The campaign is being led by chief strategist Jeanne Milliken Bonds, the former Knightdale mayor who helped elect state Supreme Court Justice Burley Mitchell. She is managing her first campaign for governor.”
 
According to Faison’s news release, cited in the story, his campaign is “being led by chief strategist Jeanne Milliken Bonds.”
 
Clearly, she’s not the manager. I’ll bet the N&O is embarrassed.

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13
You can be certain of one thing about the 2012 election: The thing that will decide it hasn’t happened yet.
 
At this point in 2008, nobody had heard of Sarah Palin. And nobody expected the economy to nearly collapse in six months.
 
The possibilities are endless: war with Iran? Another disaster in Afghanistan? A hurricane? $5 gas? A brokered Republican convention that nominates Jeb Bush? The Supreme Court's health care decision?
 
This year’s volatility is dramatized by today’s New York Times/CBS poll. At a time when most Democrats were starting to feel good – thanks to an uptick in jobs, a down-and-dirty war over women and self-destruction in the Republican presidential race – the poll found that President Obama’s approval rating fell from 50 percent to 41 percent in recent weeks.
 
The likely culprit: gas prices. While us political people were caught up in the drama over Rush Limbaugh and the Republican primaries, real people are caught up in the daily struggle to make ends meet.

 

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12
Last week I blogged (“Anti-Social Media”) about tweets by Jeanne Milliken Bonds, Bill Faison’s campaign manager. A TAPster now sees evidence that Faison’s campaign is behind a fake Bob Etheridge Twitter account.
 
The TAPster spotted identical tweets from both Bonds and the parody site “Bobby(B.B)Etheridge.”
 
Both Bonds and B.B. had tweeted: “The "restless energy" east of I-95 is caused by exorbitant energy costs that are hurting middle class families & the poor. #ncgov#ncpol.”
 
“Restless energy,” of course, is a reference to Walter Dalton’s new web video.
 
The fake Etheridge site identifies itself this way: “(B.B.) stands for Boom Boom. I'm your next Gov, and have the right to know who you are! Everyday is #FF! #ncga #ncpol #NCGOV #NC2012 yes, *parody account*.”
 
The TAPster observes: “There’s a reason Faison is at 2 percent in the polls.”
 

 

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12
Not long ago I blogged that some people call Walter Dalton dull. (Not that there’s anything wrong with a governor being a bit dull; see Sarah Palin and Mark Sanford.)
 
Now his video ad “Restless Energy” reflects what I’m hearing about Dalton on the stump and in person: that he has become a forceful speaker and a persuasive personality.
 
Last week, a big Democratic giver told me about Dalton’s fundraising call to him. The giver was impressed by his confidence and assertiveness. And he’s giving.
 
Most striking thing about the video is the contrast it strikes with today’s nasty, gloomy politics. It’s positive, optimistic and energetic. Reminds me a bit of Jim Hunt. Which is high praise.
 

 

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10
A TAPster raises a key question about the Democrats running for governor: Why? See below:
 
Your blog today about Bobby Etheridge and Dan Blue and their crafty mobilization of black voters prompted a thought about the Democratic governor’s primary in North Carolina.
 
Why would any Democrat want the job?
 
Walter Dalton, Etheridge and what’s-his-name-the-trial-lawyer-who-tweets-with-Jeannie-Bonds should run screaming from the campaign for dozens of reasons, among them:
 
1.      There’s no money. The state apparently doesn’t have two nickels to rub together to run ferries, pave roads or hire teachers. The governor can’t create any cool new programs because there’s no money to fund them. You get a free jet but can’t afford the gas. You get a free house but can’t afford to heat it.
 
2.      There’s a GOP legislature, probably for the rest of this decade. ‘Nuf said. Even if you have a brilliant idea and find a loose shekel to pay for it, it’s DOA in GOPland.
 
3.      The state’s political world is completely dysfunctional. There’s no leadership and none on the horizon. Nobody knows how to compromise for the good of the state. Crazy Republicans worry more about bedroom issues and who’s marrying each other than about improving the state’s economy. Crazy Democrats worry more about continuing to pour money down wasteful entitlement rat holes than working collaboratively to solve real problems.
 
So, why would any Democrat bust his butt and spend millions to “win” so he can spend four years in this muck?
 
Run! Run! Not for office. Just run away!

 

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